The India Meteorological Department (IMD) released a weather forecast suggesting the possible development of cyclonic storm ‘Michaung’ in the southwest Bay of Bengal by December 1.
The formation of a low-pressure area over the South Andaman Sea and adjoining regions is expected to progress into a depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal by November 29. Subsequently, it’s projected to move northwestwards, likely intensifying into a cyclonic storm over the southeast Bay of Bengal within the following 48 hours, the IMD reported.
IMD’s Global Forecast System predicts the likelihood of this low-pressure area crossing the Andhra Pradesh-South Odisha coasts by December 5 as a severe cyclonic storm. Forecasts indicate the formation of a depression in the South Bay of Bengal during November 29-30, followed by intensification into a cyclonic storm, yet specifics regarding its formation area, timing, and recurvature point remain variable.
Andaman & Nicobar Islands is likely to experience Isolated Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6 to 204.4 mm) and Gusty Winds (40-50 kmph) on 28th & 29th November! 🌊 Stay safe and make sure to stay up to date with the latest weather predictions! pic.twitter.com/NvyjifRhj5
— India Meteorological Department (@Indiametdept) November 27, 2023
Cyclone Michaung, suggested by Myanmar, will be the sixth in the Indian Ocean this year and the fourth in the Bay of Bengal, if formed.
IMD highlights the emergence of a low-pressure area near the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, potentially strengthening into a cyclonic storm over the Bay of Bengal by November 29. While its movement toward the coast and landfall predictions remain undisclosed, an orange alert has been issued for November 28 and 29.
Anticipating Isolated Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall and Gusty Winds in Andaman & Nicobar Islands on November 28th and 29th, IMD urges caution. Additionally, it describes the current sea conditions as likely to be moderate to rough in the south Andaman Sea and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
The cyclonic storm ‘Midhili,’ previously a deep depression in the Bay of Bengal, escalated on Friday morning. It resulted in heavy rainfall in northeastern states like Tripura and Mizoram, prompting a holiday declaration for schools and Anganwadi centers in Tripura. The cyclone ‘Hamoon’ during this season had earlier moved towards the Bangladesh coast.