Amidst a dynamic week in the financial landscape, notable economic factors, such as the US Fed meeting minutes, consumer confidence, and PMI figures, will be under close scrutiny. In the realm of currency markets, the Indian rupee exhibited minimal changes against the US dollar on November 21, despite the rise of Asian currencies.
As the clock struck 9:10 am, the rupee traded at 83.33 to a dollar, marking a slight increase of 0.02 percent from its previous closing rate of 83.35.
A noteworthy occurrence unfolded the day before when the rupee breached the protected level of 83.30 set by the Reserve Bank of India. This breach was attributed to a $2 billion Non-Deliverable Forward (NDF) maturity, compelling a substantial demand for the dollar.
This demand, coupled with the market dynamics, has analysts, including Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, observing a potential shift in the market sentiment.
Bhansali remarked, “As shorts get squeezed out and the market gets long on the dollar, apart from the cash shortage which is keeping the dollar bid, we could see long cutting happening sooner than later. For the present, it is a wait-and-watch mode for the pair.”
In the broader context of Asian currencies, positive trends were observed. The Taiwanese dollar led the way with a gain of 0.78 percent, followed by the Japanese yen and the Malaysian ringgit, each rising by 0.46 percent.
The Chinese renminbi also registered an increase of 0.38 percent, while the Thai Baht and South Korean won saw gains of 0.35 percent each. Additionally, the Philippines peso rose by 0.3 percent, and the Singapore dollar showed a modest increase of 0.19 percent.
Meanwhile, the dollar index, a measure of the US currency’s strength against major currencies, was at 103.265, experiencing a marginal decrease of 0.17 percent from its previous close of 103.438.
It is imperative to note that the upcoming week holds significance as key economic indicators unfold, providing insights into market dynamics. Furthermore, with US markets set to close on November 23 for Thanksgiving, global investors are poised for potential shifts in currency values.
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